Weather could play a decisive role in third T20I, but Bangladesh remain favourites against under-strength New Zealand

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Bangladesh are on the brink of history as they prepare for the third and final T20I against New Zealand in rain-hit Dhaka. Having already secured the ODI series 2-1, the hosts now have a golden opportunity to clinch a rare double-series win on the same tour—something they have never achieved against New Zealand before.

The second T20I was abandoned without a ball being bowled due to persistent rain, ensuring Bangladesh cannot lose the series. With momentum on their side after a commanding chase in the first match, the home team will head into the decider full of confidence.

In that opening T20I, Bangladesh successfully chased down a challenging 183-run target with ease. The middle-order trio of Towhid Hridoy, Shamim Hossain, and Parvez Hossain played a crucial role, accelerating at the right moments and sealing the win with two overs to spare. Their performance addressed pre-series concerns about Bangladesh’s middle-order stability.

However, the team will be looking for improved intent from their openers. Saif Hassan and Tanzid Hasan struggled to find momentum in the powerplay, scoring 17 off 16 balls and 20 off 25 balls respectively. While both are capable of aggressive stroke play, reducing dot-ball pressure will be key in the final match.

New Zealand, on the other hand, showed promise with the bat in the first T20I. Katene Clarke and Dane Cleaver impressed with quick-fire half-centuries, stitching together an 88-run partnership. But their middle-order failed to capitalize on the strong start, with only stand-in captain Nick Kelly contributing a notable 39 off 27 balls. The visitors ultimately fell short of a potential 200-plus total.

Bowling remains a concern for New Zealand, especially with their inexperienced attack. The absence of a left-arm spinner like Jayden Lennox in the first game may have cost them, and his inclusion in the final XI could provide better balance. Ish Sodhi, one of New Zealand’s most experienced T20I bowlers with 164 wickets, will be key to their chances despite an expensive outing in the series opener.

The weather, however, could once again take center stage. With continuous rain forecast in Dhaka and pitches kept under covers, conditions may favour seamers due to surface moisture. There is a strong possibility of interruptions, or even another washout, which could ultimately decide the series outcome.